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Making Confident Decisions With Heatseeker

Spot Winning Variants and Segments with Confidence

Razii Abraham avatar
Written by Razii Abraham
Updated over 2 months ago

Clicks and impressions don’t tell you the whole story. They don’t reveal buyer intent or how reliable your results are.

Heatseeker goes deeper — measuring real buyer behavior and showing you:

  • Score: What’s working

  • Uplift: How much better it is

  • Confidence: How sure you can be


1. Buyer Engagement Score (“Score”)

Measures how much meaningful engagement your variants generate, weighted by intent.

  • High-intent actions like leads or sign-ups count more.

  • Lower-intent actions like casual clicks count less.

Example: A Score of 21 could mean 21 clicks per 1,000 impressions if clicks were the only action — but usually it’s a weighted mix of form opens, leads, and clicks.

💡 How to use it: A higher Score means stronger buyer interest. Use it to spot promising ideas quickly.


2. Uplift

Shows how much better or worse a variant performs compared to your baseline.

  • Positive uplift = outperforming

  • Negative uplift = underperforming

  • Default baseline = average score across all variants (can be changed).

Example: A +63% uplift means the variant is performing 63% better than the baseline.

💡 How to use it: Uplift tells you the size of the difference. Pair it with Confidence to see if that difference is real.


3. Confidence

Confidence tells you how sure we are that a variant’s uplift vs. the baseline is real — not just random noise.

We use clear labels so you can read it instantly:

Confidence Level

Meaning

Stat Sig (90%+)

Almost certain the uplift is real.

High (80–90%)

Likely real, but not yet statistically significant.

Moderate (70–80%)

Directional — use with caution.

Low (<70%)

Could be random noise.


Real Example

Variant: “Same-day or next-day delivery guaranteed”

Metric

Result

Interpretation

Score

21

Strong engagement

Uplift

+63%

Strong outperformance vs. baseline

Confidence

Stat Sig (94%)

Almost certainly a real winner

Bottom line: This message is a winner. More traffic could strengthen Confidence for smaller gaps between other variants.


Segments, Too

Score, Uplift, and Confidence apply not just to your variants but to any audience segment — region, age, job title, or custom groups — so you can make confident calls at every level.

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